New DelHI: Hupfumi hweIndia husimbe uye maindasitiri anovimba zvakanyanya nemafuta asina kuchena senge ndege, kutakura zvinhu, migwagwa uye njanji angangowana kubva mukudonha kwakaerekana kwemitengo yemafuta asina kuchena nekuda kwedenda rekoronavirus muChina, mafuta makuru pasi rose. importer, akadaro economists, chief executives uye nyanzvi.
Nemaindasitiri akasiyana ari kugadzirisa hurongwa hwavo pakati pekufanotaura kwesimba kuri kudzikiswa nekuda kwedenda re coronavirus, vatengesi vakuru vemafuta seIndia vari kutsvaga kutyaira zvirinani.India ndiyo yechitatu pakukura munyika inotenga mafuta kunze kwenyika uye mutengi wechina pakukura weliquefied natural gas (LNG).
Musika wemafuta parizvino wakatarisana nemamiriro ezvinhu anonzi contango, umo mitengo yenzvimbo yakadzikira pane zvibvumirano zveramangwana.
“Kufungidzira kuri kuitwa nemasangano akati wandei kuri kuratidza kuti crude yeChinese Q1 ichadzikira ne15-20%, zvichikonzera kudzikira kwekuda kwepasi rose.Izvi zviri kuratidza mumitengo yezvisina kuchena neLNG, zviri zviviri zvisina kunaka kuIndia.Izvi zvichabatsira India mune yayo macroeconomic parameters nekuve nekushomeka kweakaundi yazvino, kuchengetedza shanduko yakagadzikana uye nekudaro inflation, "akadaro Debasish Mishra, anoshanda kuDeloitte India.
Sangano reInternational Energy Agency (IEA) neOrganisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) vadzikisa maonero ekukura kwemafuta epasi rose zvichitevera kubuda kwe coronavirus.
"Zvikamu zvakaita sendege, pendi, ceramics, zvimwe zvigadzirwa zvemaindasitiri, nezvimwe zvingabatsirika kubva muhutongi hwemitengo," Mishra akawedzera.
India inzvimbo yakakosha yekunatsa yekuAsia, ine huwandu hwakaiswa hunodarika 249.4 miriyoni matani pagore (mtpa) kuburikidza ne23 yekunatsa.Mutengo wedengu reIndia reutsvina, wakasvika madhora makumi mashanu neshanu nemazana mana nemakumi mana nemakumi matatu nemazana matanhatu nemadhora makumi matanhatu nesere padhiramu muFY18 neFY19, zvichiteerana, wakasvika madhora makumi matanhatu neshanu muna Zvita 2019, maererano nedatha kubva kuPetroleum Planning and Analysis Cell.Mutengo wacho waive $54.93 dhiramu musi wa13 Kukadzi.Dengu reIndia rinomiririra avhareji yeOman, Dubai neBrent crude.
"Munguva yakapfuura, mutengo wemafuta wakaona pundutso yendege ichiwedzera zvakanyanya," akadaro Kinjal Shah, mutevedzeri wemutungamiri wemakambani kukambani yemitengo ICRA Ltd.
Pakati pekuderera kwehupfumi, indasitiri yekufambisa ndege yeIndia yakaona kukura kwe3.7% yevatakuri muna 2019 kusvika 144 miriyoni.
“Iyi inogona kunge iri nguva yakanaka yekuti vendege vabhadhare kurasikirwa.Ndege dzinogona kushandisa izvi kudzoreredza kurasikirwa, nepo vafambi vachigona kushandisa nguva ino kuronga kufamba sezvo mutengo wematikiti endege uchizowedzera hushamwari, "akadaro Mark Martin, muvambi uye CEO kuMartin Consulting Llc, chipangamazano wendege.
Kubuda kwegoronavirus muChina kwakamanikidza mafemu emagetsi ipapo kumisa zvibvumirano zvekuendesa uye kuderedza zvinobuda.Izvi zvakanganisa mitengo yemafuta epasi rose uye mitengo yekutumira.Kunetsana kwekutengeserana uye kuderera kwehupfumi hwenyika kune zvakare kuwanda pamisika yemagetsi.
Vakuru veIndia Chemical Council, sangano reindasitiri, vakati India inotsamira kuChina kune makemikari mukati mekukosha kweketani, nechikamu chenyika iyi mune zvekunze kubva pa10-40%.Iyo petrochemical sector inoshanda semusana kune mamwe akasiyana ekugadzira uye asiri ekugadzira zvikamu zvakaita sezvivakwa, mota, machira uye zvevatengi zvinogara kwenguva refu.
“Mhando dzakasiyana siyana dzakagadzirwa nepakati dzinotengwa kubva kuChina.Kunyangwe, kusvika pari zvino, makambani ari kuunza izvi haana kunyanya kukanganiswa, cheni yavo yekugovera iri kupera.Saka, vanogona kunzwa kufambira mberi kana zvinhu zvikasaita zvakanaka, "akadaro Sudhir Shenoy, mutungamiri wenyika uye CEO weDow Chemical International Pvt.Ltd.
Izvi zvinogona kubatsira vagadziri vemumba vemakemikari erabha, magraphite electrodes, kabhoni nhema, dhayi uye pigment sezvo kuderera kweChinese kunze kwenyika kungamanikidza vatengi kuti vazviwane munharaunda.
Mitengo yakaderera inounzawo mashoko akanaka kuhomwe yehurumende pakati pekushomeka kwemari yekuwana mari uye kushomeka kwemari kuri kuramba kuchikwira.Nekuda kwekukura kuri kuita muunganidzwa wemari, gurukota rezvemari, Nirmala Sitharaman, vachipa bhajeti reMubatanidzwa, vakakoka chirevo chekupunyuka kuti vatore danho remakumi mashanu mukushomeka kwemari muna 2019-2020, vachitora fungidziro yakadzokororwa kusvika 3.8% yeGDP.
Gavhuna weRBI Shaktikanta Das neMugovera akati kuderera kwemitengo yemafuta kuchave nemhedzisiro yakanaka pakukwira kwemitengo.“Nyaya huru iri kubva mukukwira kwemitengo yechikafu, kureva miriwo uye mapuroteni.Core inflation yakwira zvishoma nekuda kwekudzokororwa kwemitero yenharembozha,” akawedzera.
Zvichiremerwa nekudzikira kwechikamu chekugadzira, fekitori yeIndia yakapihwa chibvumirano muna Zvita, ukuwo inflation yezvitoro yakakwira kwemwedzi wechitanhatu wakateedzana muna Ndira, zvichimutsa kusava nechokwadi nezvekugadzirisa hupfumi hutsva.Kukura kwehupfumi hweIndia kunofungidzirwa neNational Statistical Office kusvika pamakore gumi nerimwe pasi pe5% muna 2019-2020 pamusana pekushandisa husimbe uye kudiwa kwekudyara.
Madan Sabnavis, mukuru wezvehupfumi kuCARE Ratings, akati mitengo yakaderera yemafuta yave chikomborero kuIndia."Zvisinei, kukwira kumusoro hakugone kubviswa, nekumwe kuderedzwa kunotarisirwa neOpec nedzimwe nyika dzinotumira kunze.Naizvozvo, isu tinofanirwa kutarisa nezve nzira yekuwedzera kutengesa kunze kwenyika uye kutarisa kuwedzera chikonzero chekudzikira kwemitengo yemafuta, kureva, coronavirus, uye kusundira zvinhu zvedu kuChina, tichitsvaga dzimwe nzira kune vatengesi vekunze.Neraki, nekuda kwekuyerera kwemari, kudzvanywa parupi haisi nyaya, "akawedzera.
Iine hanya nemamiriro ekuda kwemafuta, OPEC inogona kufambisira mberi musangano wayo kubva 5-6 Kurume, nepaneru yehunyanzvi ichikurudzira kuchekwa kwenguva pfupi kuhurongwa hweOpec +.
"Nekuda kwekutengesa kwakanaka kunze kwenyika kubva kuMabvazuva, kukanganisa kwezvikepe zvemidziyo seJNPT (Jawaharlal Nehru Port Trust) kuchave kwakakwira, ukuwo kukanganisa pachiteshi cheMundra kunenge kushoma," akadaro Jagannarayan Padmanabhan, director uye anodzidzira kutungamira kwekutakura uye. Logistics kuCrisil Infrastructure Advisory."Chimiro ndechekuti zvimwe zvekugadzira zvinogona kubva kuChina kuenda kuIndia kwenguva pfupi."
Nepo kukwira kwemitengo isina kuchena nekuda kwekusawirirana kuri pakati peUS neIran kwakararama kwenguva pfupi, kubuda kwe coronavirus uye kubuda kwakatemwa nenyika dzeOpec kwaunza chinhu chekusagadzikana.
“Kunyangwe mitengo yemafuta yakadzikira, mutengo wekuchinja (rupee uchipikisa dhora) uri kukwira izvo zviri kukonzerawo kukwira kwemitengo.Isu takasununguka kana rupiya inenge 65-70 inopesana nedhora.Sezvo chikamu chikuru chemari yedu, kusanganisira yemafuta ekufambisa nendege, ichibhadharwa nemari yemadhora, mari yekunze chinhu chakakosha pamitengo yedu, "akadaro mumwe mukuru pane imwe ndege yebhajeti reNew Delhi pasina kudomwa zita.
Kuve nechokwadi, kudzokororwa mukudiwa kwemafuta kunogona zvakare kukwidza mitengo inogona kukurudzira inflation uye kukuvadza kudiwa.
Mitengo yemafuta yakakwira zvakare ine kukanganisa kusiri kwakananga kuburikidza nekugadzirwa kwakakwira nemitengo yekufambisa uye inosimudzira kukwira kwechikafu.Chero kuedza kudzikisa mutoro wevatengi nekudzikisa mutero wepeturu nedhiziri kungakanganisa kuunganidzwa kwemari.
Ravindra Sonavane, Kalpana Pathak, Asit Ranjan Mishra, Shreya Nandi, Rhik Kundu, Navadha Pandey naGireesh Chandra Prasad vakatsigira nyaya iyi.
Iwe zvino wakanyoreswa kumabhuku edu enhau.Kana ukasawana chero email kubva kudivi redu, ndapota tarisa iyo spam folda.
Nguva yekutumira: Kubvumbi-28-2021