Nekuda kwekukurudzirwa kaviri kwekudzoreredzwa kwezvinodiwa uye kukanganiswa kwecheni yekupa, mitengo yearuminiyamu yakakwira kusvika pakakwirira kwemakore gumi nematatu. Panguva imwe chete, masangano akasiyana-siyana panyaya yeramangwana reindasitiri. Vamwe vaongorori vanotenda kuti mitengo yearuminiyamu icharamba ichikwira. Uye mamwe masangano atanga kupa yambiro kumusika webheya, achiti nguva yasvika.
Sezvo mitengo yearuminiyamu ichiramba ichikwira, Goldman Sachs neCitigroup vawedzera zvavaitarisira pamitengo yearuminiyamu. Fungidziro yazvino yeCitigroup ndeyekuti mumwedzi mitatu inotevera, mitengo yearuminiyamu inogona kukwira kusvika kuUS$2,900/tani, uye mitengo yearuminiyamu yemwedzi 6-12 inogona kukwira kusvika kuUS$3,100/tani, sezvo mitengo yearuminiyamu ichizochinja kubva pamusika wemombe wenguva dzose kuenda kumusika wemombe wechimiro. Avhareji yemutengo wearuminiyamu inotarisirwa kuva US$2,475/tani muna 2021 uye US$3,010/tani gore rinouya.
Goldman Sachs anotenda kuti tarisiro yekutengeserana kwenyika inogona kudzikira, uye mutengo we futures aluminum unotarisirwa kukwira zvakanyanya, uye mutengo we futures aluminum kwemwedzi gumi nemiviri inotevera uchakwira kusvika kuUS$3,200/tani.
Pamusoro pezvo, nyanzvi yezvehupfumi yeTrafigura Group, kambani inotengesa zvinhu pasi rose, yakaudzawo vezvenhau neChipiri kuti mitengo yealuminium icharamba ichikwira zvakanyanya kana tichitarisa kudiwa kwakanyanya uye kushomeka kwezvigadzirwa kuri kuwedzera.
Inzwi rine musoro
Asi panguva imwe chete, vanhu vakawanda vakatanga kuda kuti musika udzikame. Munhu akakodzera ari kutungamira China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association akati nguva pfupi yapfuura kuti mitengo yepamusoro yearuminiyamu inogona kunge isingagari kwenguva refu, uye kune "njodzi nhatu dzisingatsigirwi uye njodzi mbiri huru."
Munhu anotungamira akati zvinhu zvisingatsigire kukwira kuri kuramba kuchiita mitengo yearuminiyamu zvinosanganisira: hapana kushomeka kuri pachena kwearuminiyamu yemagetsi, uye indasitiri yese iri kuita zvese zvainogona kuti ive nechokwadi chekuti inowanikwa; kuwedzera kwemitengo yekugadzira aruminiyamu yemagetsi zviri pachena kuti hakuna kukwira sekuwedzera kwemitengo; kushandiswa kwazvino hakuna kukwana kutsigira mitengo yakadaro yakakwira yearuminiyamu.
Pamusoro pezvo, akataurawo nezvenjodzi yekugadzirisa musika. Akati kuwedzera kukuru kuri kuitika pari zvino kwemitengo yearuminiyamu kwakaita kuti makambani ekugadzira aruminiyamu asafare. Kana maindasitiri ekugadzira aruminiyamu akakurirwa, kana kuti kana mitengo yearuminiyamu yakakwira ikadzivisa kushandiswa kwemagetsi, pachava nezvimwe zvinhu, izvo zvichazunungusa hwaro hwekuwedzera kwemitengo uye zvichikonzera kuti mutengo udzoke nekukurumidza padanho repamusoro munguva pfupi, zvichigadzira njodzi yehurongwa hwemagetsi.
Munhu anotungamira akataurawo nezve kusimbaradzwa kwemitemo yemari yemabhanga makuru pasi rose pamitengo yearuminiyamu. Akati mamiriro ekunze ekurerutsira mari asina kumboitika ndiwo anonyanya kukonzera mitengo yezvinhu, uye kana mari yapera, mitengo yezvinhu ichasanganawo nematambudziko makuru ehurongwa hwemari.
Jorge Vazquez, mukuru weHarbor Intelligence, kambani yekupa mazano muUS, anobvumiranawo neChina Nonferrous Metals Industry Association. Akati kudiwa kwearuminiyamu kwapfuura nguva yakwakajairwa.
"Tinoona kuti kudiwa kwezvivakwa muChina (kwearuminiyamu) kuri kudzikira", njodzi yekuderera kwehupfumi hwemaindasitiri iri kuwedzera, uye mitengo yearuminiyamu inogona kunge iri panjodzi yekudonha nekukurumidza, Vazquez akadaro pamusangano weindasitiri yeHarbor neChina.
Kuchinja kweGuinea kwaratidza kushushikana nezvekukanganiswa kwekutengeserana kwe bauxite mumusika wepasi rose. Zvisinei, nyanzvi dziri muindasitiri ye bauxite munyika dzakati kuchinja uku hakuzove nemhedzisiro yakakura kwenguva pfupi pakutengeserana kwenyika.
Nguva yekutumira: Gunyana-13-2021